Risk Measurement
IDC Financial Publishing, Inc. identifies risk measurement with several financial ratios, assigns a weight factor to each based on its relative importance to the health of the institution, and then combines the overall view into a numeric summary rank. Ranks range from 1 (the lowest) to 300 (the highest).
Since 1985, we have compiled and stored all the risk measurement data necessary to analyze and rank financial institutions in our database. With this, we can provide historical information for any given institution back to 1985, or to year of inception.
IDC's unique method of evaluating financial institutions is based on the acronym CAMEL-Capital Requirements, Adequacy of Capital, Margins, Earnings Returns, and Liquidity. Many analysts ignore the "M" in CAMEL, while IDC determines management's performance based on margins.
In addition to performing a CAMEL ratio analysis, IDC calculates the Net Operating Profit After-tax Return on Equity (NOPAT ROE). The NOPAT ROE equation differs from the traditional ROE equation by not subtracting the cost of funding so early in the analysis. The NOPAT ROE equation allows managers to truly compare operating and, separately, financial returns with their peers.
IDC Financial Publishing, Inc. provides risk measurement databases for commercial banks, bank holding companies, and credit unions.
Probability of Failure
IDC estimates the probability of failure for institutions at each level of rank from 1 (potential failure) to 300 (highest rank attainable), which is updated quarterly. From 1989 to 2023, there were 1,419 failures of banks. Of these, 90% were ranked less than 125 by IDCFP up to 17 months before failure and 73% were rated less than 125 by IDCFP up to 29 months before a collapse. IDC Financial Publishing is the source for an accurate and timely estimate of an institution's potential risk and susceptibility to failure.