Sudden Rise in the 10-Year Yield Expected

The recent sharp rise in the nominal 10-year T-Note yield is a normal expectation for a recovery period and should continue in the next four months. The Treasury market is implying substantially more inflation is to come over the next decade, than in the COVID period of 2020. Higher inflationary expectations,…

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A Potential Supercycle Developed from a Commodities Boom

A surge in commodity prices has the Federal Reserve and Wall Street banks gearing up for the start of a possible new supercycle. Defined by an extended period during which demand drives prices well above their long-run trend, the impetus for this supercycle is the massive federal government spending coupled…

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Our Remarkable Record Predicting Bank Failure and Recovery

Updated for 4th Quarter 2020 ranks IDC Financial Publishing’s Record in History IDCFP’s CAMEL safety ratings of banks, savings institutions, credit unions range from 300 (the top grade attainable) to 1 (the lowest). From the early 1990’s, through today, institutions using our CAMEL ranks determined that ranks less than 125 were deemed…

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Who Uses IDC Financial Publishing’s Ranks and Why?

When financial markets became increasingly influenced by excessive lending before the financial crisis in 2018-2019, IDC Financial Publishing's methodology played an important role in tracking financial institution safety, and established a successful record that may alert investors to another period of risk in the future. Learn how IDCFP became a benchmark…

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