Brokered CDs Reaching New Highs in 2024
Deposit costs at banks reflect competition from yields on the 3-month T-Bill near 5%, and the 2-year at 4%, coupled with the upward pressure of another potential 25-basis point hike in the Fed funds rate in May. Together, these yields forecast rising deposit costs…
Keep Reading »
February’s growth rate in the Fed’s favorite gauge of inflation, “Core Services Ex Housing PCE” is expected to remain at 4.6% well into 2023, 190-basis points above the 2.7% required run rate in the aggregate that coincides with the 2% headline and core PCE target of the Federal Reserve.
Table I
Source:…
Keep Reading »
IDC Financial Publishing (IDCFP) measures two different time series in balance sheet cash flow (BSCF) as a percent of Tier I capital.
Quarter-to-quarter change in balance sheet cash flow percent Tier I capital.Year-over-year change in balance sheet cash flow percent Tier I capital.
Balance sheet cash flow equals the operating cash flow…
Keep Reading »
Part I: IDCFP’s Approach to Bank Risk Liquidity
IDC Financial Publishing
(IDCFP) examines another two measures of risk. One is uninsured
deposits, borrowing and other liabilities as a percent of the market
value of assets available for liquidation. Uninsured deposits are
normally used in risk analysis. Borrowings are often secured by…
Keep Reading »
Supercore, Services Less Rent of Shelter, Inflation Remains Elevated
Even with year-over-year inflation moving closer to the Fed’s target benchmark rate of 2%, the cost of services has become a
growing share of overall inflation in recent months, and the central bank is closely monitoring so-called supercore inflation.1
Table I
Housing costs are excluded…
Keep Reading »